Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026?
10.1 pts (24h)IAYearly3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGPT (OpenAI) 78.3%+10.1ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+11.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète21 nov. 25, 2:0231 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
Resolves to whoever releases a model with the highest version number in the name, including sub-versions, by the end of 2026.
- Doesn’t count if someone releases a model with a number that isn’t a version number. “Grok 69” would not count. “GPT-6-preview” would count.
- The model must be publicly accessible.
- If there’s a tie, resolves evenly split among tied companies.
- Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Version number comparison: If there is ambiguity in comparing version numbers (e.g., 5.9 vs 5.11), the creator will ask each model how to resolve the market and resolve to the average of their opinions.
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- September 30-0.1pt99%
- October 31+0.6pt99%
- September 15+0.6pt98%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 457,4 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-4.0pt59.2%
- ChatGPT-1.3pt24.3%
- Grok+0.9pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,7 M €
POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+9.1pt100%
- November 30,+6.8pt100%
- December 31,+5.5pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI's Astra released on?
- September 4+27.7pt37%
- September 17+22.2pt23%
- September 24+22.1pt23%
+27 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude-10.0pt76.5%
- ChatGPT+5.0pt16.7%
- Gemini+2.0pt2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 149,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+14.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+6.0pt99%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- AI capability growth this year?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote GPT (OpenAI) à 78% au 3 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to whoever releases a model with the highest version number in the name, including sub-versions, by the end of 2026.