Prévision communautaire actuelle
Anthropic 76.5%+2.2ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-6.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 26, 19:48 UTC7 nov. 26, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
KalshiWhat will the top score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath: Erdős (68 open Erdős problems) be on November 7, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich frontier lab will top the Epoch Capabilities Index EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Which AI lab will own the top-scoring model on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) at the end of November 6, 2026 (US Eastern)?
- Resolution source: the ECI leaderboard at https://epoch.ai/eci (Epoch AI).
- I will read it on or shortly after the evening of Nov 6, 2026 and resolve to the lab that developed the model with the highest ECI score shown.
- If Epoch's data had already updated past Nov 6 when I check, I will use the Internet Archive snapshot closest to Nov 6 23:59 ET, or Epoch's published data file for that date.
- The model's developer decides the answer (e.g. Claude → Anthropic, GPT → OpenAI, Gemini → the named outcome, Grok → xAI).
- Anything else → Other.