Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleMinnesota - Penny Flanagan 97.2%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+47.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
6 sept. 26, 20:16 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.