Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection10j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNorth Carolina - Roy Cooper 99%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète6 sept. 26, 20:16 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Senate candidates will Barack Obama rally for in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 5% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate have 50.1% or more in the polling average and lose?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 8% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
KalshiRègles
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.