Prévision communautaire actuelle
Starship 67.6%+12.1ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+12.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète18 févr. 24, 13:51 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will Starship launch at least as many times as Falcon 9?
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KalshiRègles
The current record is 19 times by a the named outcome booster.
- I'm mostly interested in real reuse rather than elaborate refurbishment like the shuttle program.
- I'm not sure how to capture that clearly in the conditions though.
- @/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-20-times-fir
- @/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-25-times-fir
- @/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-30-times-fir
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
- $78,750 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $83,900 or above99%
- $83,700 or above99%
- $83,400 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 467,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 434 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,500 or above+6.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $76,500 or above+10.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+42.0pt99%
- New York City+64.0pt99%
- Providence+59.0pt99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+28.0pt95%
- 65-89-10.0pt5%
- <40-34.5pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+12.0pt47.1%
- 200-219+6.0pt42.2%
- 220-239-9.0pt6.9%
+23 résultats de plus
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
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- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 21, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which booster will fly 50 times first? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Starship à 68% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which booster will fly 50 times first? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which booster will fly 50 times first? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Which booster will fly 50 times first? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The current record is 19 times by a the named outcome booster.