Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore Jan 1 2030 90.6%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète14 avr. 24, 22:26 UTC1 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which booster will fly 50 times first?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiETH price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
In April 2024, B1062 became the first falcon booster to reach 20 flights.
- The company says it is currently qualifying them to fly 40 times each.
- Coincidentally(?), if a booster flies 40 times, it will also break Discovery's record 39 flights, though the comparison of a shuttle orbiter and first stage of a more traditional rocket is difficult.
- Market resolves after a successful flight to orbit.
- Landing is not necessary.
- Local time at launch site.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
- $78,750 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $83,900 or above99%
- $83,700 or above99%
- $83,400 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 467,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 434 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,500 or above+6.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $76,500 or above+10.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+42.0pt99%
- New York City+64.0pt99%
- Providence+59.0pt99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+28.0pt95%
- 65-89-10.0pt5%
- <40-34.5pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+12.0pt47.1%
- 200-219+6.0pt42.2%
- 220-239-9.0pt6.9%
+23 résultats de plus
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
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- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before Jan 1 2030 à 91% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In April 2024, B1062 became the first falcon booster to reach 20 flights.