When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?
TechOne-Off18aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore January 2040 10.4%En tête parmi 15 options
Prévisionnistes
109
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète23 nov. 23, 18:10 UTC1 janv. 45, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
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0%
0%
0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By what year will we know that any past UFO/UAP was really Alien technology?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsIf EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
See previously:
- @/Joshua/by-what-year-will-we-know-that-any
- @/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
- This is an unlinked market, so that each time period can resolve NO independently, or they can resolve YES all together.
- It also includes meta-options about the other options.
- An answer resolves NO if it arrives without there being proof of a UFO/UAP from before market creation having a worldview-shattering origin such as aliens, time-travelers, interdimensional travelers, secret superintelligence made by ancient humans, biblical demons, etc.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before January 2040 à 10% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2045.
- Comment When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : See previously: