Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2040 74%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 sept. 24, 19:05 UTC1 janv. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWhich POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?
Manifold MarketsThe Blood of Dawnwalker: Metacritic score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire.
- A second volume of the book, with the planned title Blood & Fire, is expected, though Martin has said that he will not publish it before the release of the next novel in the ASOIAF series, The Winds of Winter.
- This is an independent multiple-choice market; each option will resolve YES if the book is published (not just announced) before the year listed in the answer.
- It doesn't matter whether or not the second volume is split into multiple books (as some fans have speculated); the publication of a single sequel to Fire & Blood counts.
- Posthumous publications, including those involving another living author, (like the final books in the The Wheel of Time series) also count.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2040 à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.
- Comment When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire.