When will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20265j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleElection night: Nov 3, before midnight ET 62.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète10 oct. 26, 23:08 UTC3 nov. 26, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
KalshiControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves to the date (US Eastern Time) on which the Associated Press calls which party has won a majority (218+ seats) of the US House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections. **Resolution source:** the AP's race call for House control, as published on apnews.com (or the AP's live results page / AP Politics account).
- If the AP does not publish an explicit majority call, the time at which AP's own seat tally first shows 218 House seats called for one party counts as the call. **Answers (all times Eastern):** - Election night: Nov 3, before midnight - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome Calls made after midnight ET on election night count as the named outcome.
- If the AP has made no call by December 31, 2026, resolves to "the named outcome".
- For reference: the AP called the House on November 16 in 2022 and November 13 in 2024, both years with narrow majorities.
- In 2018 (a Democratic wave), it was called on election night.
- The market closes before the first polls close on November 3.
