Will Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.2%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 oct. 26, 03:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsUkraine to maintain control over ______ through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Republicans maintain house control in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 of 435) in the United States House of Representatives in the midterm elections held on November 3, 2026, or otherwise maintains control of the chamber when the 120th Congress is officially convened on January 3, 2027.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party (or any other non-Republican coalition) wins a majority of seats or otherwise secures control of the chamber.
- Key Details:
- Tie-Breaker/Independent Seats: If neither major party wins 218 seats outright due to third-party or independent representatives, control will be determined by which party officially organizes the House and elects the Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official election results published by the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
