Will Republicans maintain house control in 2026 midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.1%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 26, 18:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsHouse control favorite on November 2?
PolymarketUS House Control After the 2026 Midterms
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, following the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, the Republican Party maintains control of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th Congress.
- Specifically, this means:
- The Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 voting seats in the House.
- Alternatively, if neither party secures 218 seats outright due to independents or third parties, this market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party successfully organizes the chamber and elects a Republican Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027.
- If the Democratic Party or any other non-Republican coalition wins a majority of seats or successfully organizes the chamber (electing a non-Republican Speaker), this market resolves to NO.
