Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2026 99%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète13 oct. 23, 11:39 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.2%
0.2%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiWill Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRègles
The close date may be extended and subsequent years broken out of "Other" if the market seems useful.
- Must apply to both Saturday and Sunday - schedule must take effect before the cutoff date and stay in place for a month without significant changes/reversions.
- https://www.panynj.gov/path/en/schedules-maps/saturday-schedules.html
- https://www.panynj.gov/path/en/schedules-maps/sunday-schedules.html
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume total
- 3,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume total
- 49,8 k €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2026 à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The close date may be extended and subsequent years broken out of "Other" if the market seems useful.