Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.1%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
22 avr. 26, 06:04 UTC21 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRègles
My friend and I regularly call but he thinks I will ghost him when my summer camp starts since I will be busy and find other friends there and stop being friends with him forever.
- This market resolves NO if I have at least one voice/video call/in person hangout per week on average with my friend during the period June 20 - September 21, 2026.
- Resolves YES otherwise.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 k €
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- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume total
- 3,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume total
- 49,8 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? doit être résolu le 21 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : My friend and I regularly call but he thinks I will ghost him when my summer camp starts since I will be busy and find other friends there and stop being friends with him forever.