Prévision communautaire actuelle
2035 or earlier 59.2%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète4 avr. 24, 02:27 UTC31 déc. 35, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Manifold MarketsBy which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Manifold MarketsWill we ever see a failed Starship/Booster catch attempt on the chopsticks? (Before 2030)
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again within 24hrs of that landing
- The launches aren't required to be successful
- Answers may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain
- Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
- UTC is used for dates
- Related markets:
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- 1,1 M €
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- Volume 24h
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- Volume total
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2035 or earlier à 59% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
- Comment When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again within 24hrs of that landing