Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Gold (31.5%)
Résolu: 14 août 2026, 02:31
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleSilver 32.4%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-32.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète23 juil. 26, 15:238 août 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Gold31.5%
Silver32.4%
Bronze14.5%
HM12.1%
Nothing3.6%
I don't do the contest5.8%
32.4%
31.5%
14.5%
12.1%
5.8%
3.6%
Règles
Yes I am participating in IOI 2026, for more information check IOI 2026 participant list, at the very bottom.
- No more questions about Israel participation at IOI!
- I have participated at IMO 2024, 2025, 2026, and have won bronze, gold, gold respectively.
Marchés ouverts
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 3167%
- October 31-3.5pt42%
- September 30+2.0pt28%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 353,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt42%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 25+1.0pt96%
- August 31+2.0pt88%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 31-0.1pt0%
- August 150%
- Volume total
- 19,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 219,3 k €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-4.0pt62%
- December46%
- September 30,-3.5pt19%
+8 résultats de plus
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will I get in IOI 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Silver à 32% au 20 août 2026.
- Quand What will I get in IOI 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will I get in IOI 2026? doit être résolu le 8 août 2026.
- Comment What will I get in IOI 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Yes I am participating in IOI 2026, for more information check IOI 2026 participant list, at the very bottom.