Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleShooter captured alive before Oct. 1st 100%En tête parmi 62 options
Prévisionnistes
252
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
11 sept. 25, 19:17 UTC11 sept. 26, 19:13 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.
Manifold MarketsWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.
- Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": There must be some proven link - inspiration, direct influence, etc - between the Kirk assassination and anything that would give this a YES resolution.
- Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Any left-wing group is legally designated as a 'terrorist organization'": A state or local designation doesn't count for this - it has to be federal (even if it's unconstitutional or otherwise goes through the improper channels, such as an executive order).
Marchés ouverts
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-2.0pt42%
- Ethereum (ETH)-4.0pt37%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-3.0pt34%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 594,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↓ 12+50.0pt100%
- ↓ 10+0.5pt52%
+9 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- 271,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101,2 €
- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? doit être résolu le 11 septembre 2026.
- Comment What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.