Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleLength is over 500 pages 99%En tête parmi 32 options
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète2 mars 24, 06:33 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWill Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
KalshiRègles
What will be true of The Winds of Winter, the next installment in the A Song of Ice and Fire book series written by George R. R. Martin? Feel free to submit your own answers.
- I'll answer them as soon as they become apparent.
- I plan on reading the entire book as soon as it is released.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be true of The Winds of Winter? [ADD RESPONSES] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Length is over 500 pages à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be true of The Winds of Winter? [ADD RESPONSES] sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be true of The Winds of Winter? [ADD RESPONSES] doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment What will be true of The Winds of Winter? [ADD RESPONSES] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : What will be true of The Winds of Winter, the next installment in the A Song of Ice and Fire book series written by George R. R. Martin? Feel free to submit your own answers.