Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 12 juil. 2026, 07:29 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleLess than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 jours
Obsolète22 mars 26, 20:1731 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%
Tendance du volume
$1.5k11 juil.2j de données12 juil.
Marchés Associés
Fed Decision in July?
1,7 M €No change: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,5 k €Oui: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3 k €Above 3.4%: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
7,6 k €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
4,3 k €Above -0.1%: 86%KALSHI
KALSHI![Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]](https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zzq/ajwghjn2s9.jpg)
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
3,4 k €Republican president, <2%: 23.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross
- After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
- Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
- Resolution Criteria
- Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
- Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.