Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above -0.1% 86%-1.0%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
4,9 k €
Liquidité
164,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
84.0% / 87.0%
Spread
3.6%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
20 févr. 26, 15:0012 août 26, 12:25
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above -0.1%86%
Grosses transactions
$1.5k73.0%
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noavant-hier
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noavant-hier$1.9k93.0%KALSHIAbove 0.2% — No-3 j
KALSHIAbove 0.2% — No-3 j$1.5k73.0%KALSHIAbove 0.1% — No-3 j
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — No-3 j$1.3k65.0%KALSHIAbove 0.0% — Yes-9 j
KALSHIAbove 0.0% — Yes-9 j$1.8k92.0%KALSHIAbove 0.3% — No-10 j
KALSHIAbove 0.3% — No-10 j$1.9k94.0%KALSHIAbove -0.2% — Yes-10 j
KALSHIAbove -0.2% — Yes-10 j$2.0k98.0%KALSHIAbove 0.5% — No-11 j
KALSHIAbove 0.5% — No-11 j$1.9k94.0%KALSHIAbove 0.4% — No-11 j
KALSHIAbove 0.4% — No-11 jTendance du volume
$5.6k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
CPI in September
67,7 €Above 0.3%: 43%KALSHI
KALSHICPI in August
46,6 €Above 0.2%: 44%KALSHI
KALSHICPI in November
0 €Above -0.1%: 90%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
70,3 €Oui: 51%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
26,4 €Oui: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many jobs added in July?
0 €50k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.4% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (August 12, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.