Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 9%-0.0%
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
26,4 €
Liquidité
756,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
7.0% / 10.0%
Spread
42.9%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
24 juil. 26, 16:121 sept. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes9%
Tendance du volume
$3024 juil.3j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
70,3 €Oui: 53%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
4,9 k €Above -0.1%: 86%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Unemployment in July
2,2 k €Above 4.3%: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIUnemployment in August
247,8 €Above 4.2%: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many jobs added in July?
0 €50k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US unemployment rate above 4.2% in July?
0 €Oui: 45%FUTUUR
FUTUURActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
This market will resolve "Yes" if the D4 Exceptional Drought value shown in the official U.S.
- Drought Monitor's weekly "Categorical Percent Area" statistics table for Virginia published by the National Drought Mitigation Center at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx?dregion,4 is 1.00% or greater in any weekly release published from market creation through August 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
- D4 Exceptional Drought is defined as described at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/About/AbouttheData.aspx.
- "Virginia" means the entire State of Virginia as recognized under U.S. law.
- Eligibility is determined solely by the release's publication date, not the date its underlying map data is valid "as of" (USDM releases are typically published on Thursday but reflect conditions as of the preceding Tuesday), except as provided in the force majeure clause below.