Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleLabour 35%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète3 mai 25, 06:26 UTC15 août 29, 06:18 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRègles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election
- This market will resolve to the percentage of seats for each party.
- In 2024 Labour won 411 seats (out of 650), so their answer would resolve to 63% I hope that's clear.
- If a party wins less than 1% of seats they will resolve to 0%, no rounding up in that case!
