Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleConservatives 39.6%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+11.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète6 déc. 25, 08:24 UTC10 août 29, 08:20 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the party that wins the most seats at the election following the 2024 general election.
- Resolves using major media reporting, and the Wikipedia table below(example from last election).
- If 2 parties get the same amount, resolves 50-50.