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Données au 24 oct. 2026, 14:27 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%En tête parmi 3 options
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
26 mai 24, 12:05 UTC28 avr. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
Manifold MarketsWill a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRègles
The UK will have a general election on 4th July.
- The Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is also the MP for Richmond (Yorkshire).
- He is expected to win his seat but lose his majority.
- At this point, it is expected that he will resign or be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party with the new leader of the party taking over as the Leader of the Opposition (assuming they’re even the second biggest party - see @/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9 )
- Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP once he steps down? He recently promised in an interview on Loose Women that he would, but this was the same interview where he said that there would not be a summer election!
- If Sunak is returned to Parliament and serves out his full term as an MP (whether or not he is still PM or LOTO, and even if there is a very early election), this market will resolve to the YES option.
