Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète31 mai 24, 13:56 UTC7 mai 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Sunshine Protection Act or permanent DST become law by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsUK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the SAVE America Act become law?
KalshiWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRègles
In 2023, Rishi Sunak announced that he will be putting forward legislation for a "lifetime smoking ban".
- This would mean that the age for buying cigarettes will rise by one year every year and that anyone born after a cutoff date (proposed to be 1st January 2009) will never be able to legally buy cigarettes.
- This legislation was presented to Parliament as the Tobacco and Vapes Bill 2024:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/tobacco-and-vapes-bill-2024
- In the previous market on this subject, we thought that it was looking pretty certain that the generational smoking ban would become law during Sunak's time as Prime Minister, but this became impossible once he called a general election for July:
- @/SimonGrayson/will-a-lifetime-smoking-ban-become
