UK Autumn Budget 2026: will VAT on domestic gas be cut below 5%?
One-OffMacro et économieRégulation15jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81%
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1
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 sept. 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
YES if the Budget announces a VAT rate below 5% on domestic gas for any period.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
- The creator may trade in this market.
