Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète6 juin 25, 15:04 UTC6 déc. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached and removed from office during his second term?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Trump be impeached AND removed from office?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, within six months of Donald Trump's approval rating falling below 35%, he is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives, convicted by the U.S. Senate, and removed from office.
- The approval rating must be determined by a reputable polling organization, such as Gallup or Reuters/Ipsos.
- The six-month period begins on the date when the first poll reports an approval rating below 35%.
- If these conditions are not met within that timeframe, the market will resolve to "No".
- Impeachment is a two-step process in the United States.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? doit être résolu le 6 décembre 2028.
- Comment Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria