Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.6%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 janv. 26, 20:51 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Xi dies while in office, and Trump dies while not in office
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump dies before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, etc.) or official government sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives through December 31, 2026.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- He is the oldest person in American history to be inaugurated as president.
