Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 71.5%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète23 avr. 26, 16:55 UTC20 avr. 50, 16:51 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
German Parliament (German Bundestag):
- The next new party (i.e., not the re-entry of an existing party such as the FDP, nor the splitting of a party already represented in the Bundestag into newly named subgroups) to enter the Bundestag will be an Islamic party.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the next political party to enter the German Bundestag (German federal parliament) that was not previously represented in the current legislative period is primarily based on Islamic principles or explicitly identifies as an Islamic party.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Entering the Bundestag" means gaining at least one seat in the Bundestag following a federal election or by-election.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️ ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️ sera-t-il résolu ?
- The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️ doit être résolu le 20 avril 2050.
- Comment The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️ est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : German Parliament (German Bundestag):