Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète6 mars 25, 11:53 UTC25 mars 29, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
Manifold MarketsWill Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?
Manifold MarketsThe next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRègles
The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True.
- CSU and CDU will be counted together as one party.
Marchés ouverts
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
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- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 462,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? doit être résolu le 25 mars 2029.
- Comment Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True.