Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 85%
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 54 minutes
En retard25 févr. 25, 04:34 UTC2 mars 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Serbia Presidential Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).
- This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.
- If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.
- The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German
