Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket]
Middle EastOne-Off9moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.4%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
8 sept. 26, 01:38 UTC30 juin 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30th, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
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POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket] doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30th, 2027.