Prévision communautaire actuelle
Caught by the tower 51.3%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+13.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète4 oct. 26, 12:18 UTC1 déc. 26, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
5x ABS(Day Change %(SPCX)) The 1st Market Day After 1st Ship Catch Attempt.
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX execute a ship catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Starship catch attempt target a launch from Pad A, booster catch on tower A, and ship catch on tower B?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 (expected vehicles: Booster 22 / Ship 42, provisionally no earlier than Oct 19, 2026) is the planned first attempt to catch the Starship upper stage (the ship) with the launch tower's arms.
- Elon Musk put the odds of a successful first catch at "at least 50 or 60 percent." Flight 14 (Sep 28) ended with the ship splashing down in the Pacific as planned.
- This market asks what happens to Flight 15's SHIP.
- Only one answer can win.
- the named outcome.
- SpaceX confirms, or official SpaceX video clearly shows, that the ship was caught and held by the tower arms.
