Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ?
Latin AmericaOne-OffTechSpace1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 79.6%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète25 juil. 26, 12:23 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
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FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if SpaceX plans and executes a booster catch attempt using the launch tower's "chopstick" arms (Mechazilla) during Starship Flight 15 (the 15th integrated flight test of the Starship/Super Heavy system, also known as IFT-15).
- To resolve as YES:
- SpaceX's official mission profile prior to launch must plan for a return-to-launch-site booster catch, and the booster must launch and perform its return maneuver toward the launch pad/tower.
- This includes successful catches, crashes at the pad/tower, or mid-flight aborts/diversions to a water splashdown for safety reasons (where the catch was actively attempted but waived off during descent, similar to the flight profile of Starship Flight 6).
- This market will resolve to NO if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria