Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard16 nov. 25, 07:44 UTC31 oct. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The rationale for this market is partly to gauge if Pope Leo will follow through on Francis' work on synodality.
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if a special post-synodal Ecclesial Assembly is held in the Vatican in October 2028.
- Resolution will be confirmed through official Vatican announcements or credible Catholic news sources documenting the assembly's occurrence.
- The assembly must take place in October 2028 and be formally approved by Pope Leo.
- If the assembly is postponed, cancelled, or does not occur in October 2028, the market resolves NO.
