Manifold MarketsSans KYCPrévision communautaire actuelleJ.D. Vance 39.4%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 jours
Obsolète18 mai 26, 11:0831 juil. 28, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
J.D. Vance39%
Comparer les plateformes· J.D. Vance
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 40% | — | 1,3 M € | 41,4 M € | il y a 10 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Kalshi | 42% | — | 86,9 k € | 31 M € | il y a 5 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | — | — | — | il y a 7 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | 39% | — | — | — | il y a 9 jours | |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | — | — | — | il y a 9 jours | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless | 24% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 PredictIt | 37% | — | — | — | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Myriad | 44% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Smarkets | 38% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.2%25%
+125 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total587,5 M €
Volume 24h1,3 M €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%2a
+0.2%1%
3%
+1.0%30%
+35 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total44,4 M €
Volume 24h86,9 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total13,3 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2a
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire799 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total953 k €
Volume 24h2,1 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 résultats de plus
Retail prediction exchange
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
PREDICTITÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2a
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire62 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total21,5 k €
Volume 24h102,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Myriad
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
42.3%73a
-0.4%43.8%
+6.0%36.9%
+2.7%18.5%
+29 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADÉgalement disponible sur Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total3,7 k €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.