Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJ.D. Vance 43.4%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète18 mai 26, 11:08 UTC31 juil. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 44%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 39%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee
