Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 70%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 26, 21:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein?
Manifold MarketsCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Peter is charged criminally in any country (in relation to the Epstein files or anything else), the market resolves to Yes.
- If that has not happened by the end of 2026, it resolves to No. He does not have to be convicted and the trial does not have to start, just a charge is enough.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Peter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Peter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Peter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Peter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If Peter is charged criminally in any country (in relation to the Epstein files or anything else), the market resolves to Yes.