Prévision communautaire actuelle
Christopher Luxon 56%+2.8ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+22.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
31 oct. 26, 09:45 UTC8 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- This market will also resolve to other if any PM other than Luxon or Hipkins is chosen.