Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleChris Hipkins 50.9%-0.3ptEn tête parmi 17 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+7.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète14 oct. 23, 18:59 UTC2 janv. 50, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.
- I'm not sure how the "Other" category works.
- If you think that none of the listed people will resolve positively, your best bet is probably to bet against them rather than bet in favour of "Other".
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 résultats de plus
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
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+45 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Chris Hipkins à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2050.
- Comment Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.