Prévision communautaire actuelle
OpenAI makes a statement by Friday 100%En tête parmi 20 options
Prévisionnistes
86
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+29.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
8 sept. 26, 07:15 UTC1 oct. 26, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsDid OpenAI just solve navier stokes??
Manifold MarketsWill Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027?
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected])
- https://cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/statement.pdf
- [link preview]Add anything that you think would be:
- Fun to predict, might or might not happen
- Reasonably simple to track whether it happened or not (nothing too hard to count)
- I'll resolve everything I can.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets ?
- Manifold Markets cote OpenAI makes a statement by Friday à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets sera-t-il résolu ?
- Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected])