Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.4%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 23, 08:07 UTC31 déc. 26, 12:58 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRègles
I have heard crazy, out-there rumors reported as if they were well-known-fact / open secrets in many discussions, so I thought I would start a prediction market about this to gather more information
- I'm not naming them to avoid spreading FUD
- Resolves to no, if no such thing is discovered by the end of 2026