Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by…?
GéopolitiqueManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Prévision communautaire actuelleMay 15 100%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 96 jours
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 19:4822 avr. 26, 19:32
Chronologie des Probabilités
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
May 15100%
June 30100%
December 31100%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· May 15
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global80% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 100% | — | 20,2 M € | 4,9 M € | il y a 94 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 96 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by which date?
Fermés
+2.0pt100%
+6.3pt100%
100%
+6 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total88,4 M €
Volume 24h20,2 M €
POLYMARKETRègles
Resolves same as Polymarket:
- https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by
- Please note: 14 day period must start before end date, not finish.
- If conflict ended on March 6 and there was a 14 day period of no conflict until March 20, March 7 and 15 would resolve yes on March 20 when the period has finished.
- Full rules: This is for your convenience.
- Rules may be clarified further, check Polymarket if so.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Resolves same as Polymarket:
- https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by
- Please note: 14 day period must start before end date, not finish.
- If conflict ended on March 6 and there was a 14 day period of no conflict until March 20, March 7 and 15 would resolve yes on March 20 when the period has finished.
- Full rules: This is for your convenience.
- Rules may be clarified further, check Polymarket if so.