In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
IAOne-OffDivertissement1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 60.3%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète28 août 24, 09:21 UTC4 janv. 28, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRègles
EG give it a good movie script, and it generates a movie more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as long as it's pretty good.
- Script question:
- @/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-2x8ud6ld4f
- The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes:
- @/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script? doit être résolu le 4 janvier 2028.
- Comment In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : EG give it a good movie script, and it generates a movie more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as long as it's pretty good.