In 2030, will more than 30 million people in the US aged 18+ have tried ecstasy (MDMA/molly) in their lifetimes?
One-OffSanté et médecine4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.1%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 févr. 23, 06:56 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) surveys the number of people who have ever used ecstasy, also known as MDMA or Molly.
- Will the NSDUH figure for 2030, when released, be above 30 million?
- The market resolves YES if the NSDUH number of US adults (18+) in 2030 who have ever used ecstasy, as reported by the National Survey on Drug Use and Health for that year, is more than 30 million.
- If the NSDUH does not report figures, closest available government source will be used.
- Usage stats:
- 2019: 19,872,000
