Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 55.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
8 sept. 26, 15:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiWhich Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent
KalshiWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolves NO if a snap election is held in that window and the AfD wins half or fewer of the seats.
- Resolves N/A if no snap election is held by then.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.