KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ulrich Siegmund 80.9%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
156,2 €
Liquidité
6,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
11 août 26, 15:23 UTC6 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsIf Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Manifold MarketsSaxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
KalshiHow many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
KalshiWhich parties will win at least one seat in Saxony-Anhalt state election?
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome wins the Saxony-Anhalt Minister-President election following the 2026 state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt? ?
- Kalshi cote Ulrich Siegmund à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt? doit être résolu le 6 octobre 2027.
- Comment Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the Saxony-Anhalt Minister-President election following the 2026 state election, then the market resolves to Yes.