If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027
One-OffSanté et médecinePolitique américaine1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
96.5%-97.49% 30.4%En tête parmi 5 options
96.5%-97.49% 30.4%Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 24, 16:34 UTC25 déc. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
KalshiWill RFK Jr. leave the position of HHS Secretary by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Vassar and RFK Jr talk by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsRFK Jr. Out by October 31?
PolymarketWho will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
KalshiRFK Jr. Out by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
In 2022, the share of Marin County public school kindergarten students with all vaccinations was 96.6%, per the statewide assessment available here: https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/CDPH%20Document%20Library/Immunization/2021-22KindergartenSummaryReport.pdf
- If RFK is confirmed HHS for any length of time, will this number be higher or lower for the report covering the 2026-2027 school year? We will use the same report, if the report is not available, resolves N/A. If no vaccinations are required for public school students, or measurement becomes impossible, resolves N/A. Resolves N/A if RFK is not confirmed as HHS.