If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?
Politique américaineOne-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientRussie / UkraineChine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 85.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 janv. 26, 10:17 UTC2 janv. 27, 10:17 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
Professor Jiang Xueqin has the Predictive History channel on YouTube:
- Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)
- I've extracted the most resolvable statements from this YouTube video:
- If the West Is Collapsing, What Comes Next in 2026? - Prof. Jiang Xueqin
- The questions will resolve YES if I see reports of this in relatively respectable media.
- I know this is a fuzzy resolution, but I'll do my best.
