If abiogenetically distinct alien life is discovered in the solar system before 2070, where will it be first discovered?
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Europa 30.4%En tête parmi 15 options
Europa 30.4%Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète30 déc. 23, 20:52 UTC1 janv. 70, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
As specified above, the currently living or extinct extraterrestrial organisms must be the result of a separate abiogenesis, i.e must not share a common origin with currently known terrestrial lifeforms like humans, for instance.
- So in the case of a shadow biosphere being discovered on Earth prior to 2070 the question resolves as Other.
- Conditional to such life being found, we ask where the organisms live or lived under natural conditions.
- This question will resolve as Yes for the option above which is the first place known to meet the criteria.
- All other options will resolve as No. If no such discovery of extraterrestrial life has occurred before January 1, 2070, it resolves as N/A. The location will be assessed by scientific consensus.
