Prévision communautaire actuelle
1 or more 84.3%En tête parmi 3 options
1 or more 84.3%Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète13 sept. 24, 15:03 UTC2 avr. 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be any mission that makes it to Mars during the 2026-27 Hohmann transfer window?
Manifold MarketsMan City to face transfer restriction by 2027 summer transfer window?
PolymarketWill the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
Manifold MarketsWill another spacecraft successfully land on the Moon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever make it to Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Mars must be final destination, no flybys.
- Must be working in some capacity upon arrival to Mars (can't blow up on the launch pad or fail to make it out of Earth orbit).
- It doesn't have to land successfully, just get to Mars, so orbiters count.
- I will add more options if there are many missions planned closer to the transfer window date.
- See http://www.clowder.net/hop/railroad/EMa.htm for more windows.
- [link preview]
