Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleFull 4-year term or more 68%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète2 mai 25, 13:42 UTC31 oct. 29, 04:30 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway?
KalshiWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
Futuurmark carney removed by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to the option that accurately reflects the duration of Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, measured from his swearing-in on March 14, 2025, until the end of his tenure as Prime Minister.
- The available options are:
- the named outcome
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 506,4 k €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 843,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 408 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Full 4-year term or more à 68% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2029.
- Comment How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: