Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.4%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 sept. 26, 03:32 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jimmy Carter come back to life before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.
- Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The execution must meet the following criteria:
- Can occur anywhere in the world.
- Must be a judicial action.
- Must be held in public and ceremonially by a domestic actor for a domestic audience.
- Snuff films and ISIS-style videos do not count.
